Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Market Analysis of Current and Future Industry Trends and Growth till 2035

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Looking ahead, the market is expected to nearly double in size, projected to reach US$ 29.7 billion by 2035, expanding at a robust CAGR of 7.0% between 2025 and 2035.

The global Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) market has witnessed substantial momentum in recent years as nations and industries intensify efforts to decarbonize energy systems and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. In 2024, the market was valued at approximately US$ 14.0 billion, demonstrating strong demand growth driven by supportive government policies, increased investment in sustainable fuels, and rising demand for low-carbon energy alternatives across transportation, power generation, and industrial sectors. Looking ahead, the market is expected to nearly double in size, projected to reach US$ 29.7 billion by 2035, expanding at a robust CAGR of 7.0% between 2025 and 2035. This growth underscores the pivotal role of RNG as a key transitional fuel in the global energy landscape.

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Market Overview
Renewable Natural Gas, also known as biomethane, is derived from organic waste sources including agricultural residues, municipal solid waste, and wastewater treatment facilities. Unlike conventional natural gas, RNG offers substantial environmental advantages by capturing methane—a potent greenhouse gas—and converting it into a usable form of energy. The increased focus on circular economy principles and zero-waste initiatives has positioned RNG as a dual-benefit solution that not only provides renewable energy but also mitigates harmful emissions from organic waste decomposition. As industrial decarbonization pledges become more widespread, RNG is gaining traction as a viable, scalable alternative to fossil-based fuels.

Market Size and Growth
The industry’s valuation at US$ 14.0 billion in 2024 reflects growing investment and deployment of RNG infrastructure worldwide. Government incentives, such as renewable fuel standards, tax credits, and carbon pricing mechanisms in key markets like North America and Europe, have catalyzed expansion. The projected growth to US$ 29.7 billion by 2035 reflects sustained momentum, driven by increased capacity additions, strategic partnerships between energy producers and waste management firms, and expanded use cases such as transportation fuel for heavy-duty vehicles. The 7.0% CAGR through 2035 highlights long-term confidence among investors and policy makers alike.

Market Segmentation
The renewable natural gas market can be segmented by source, end-use, and technology. By source, agricultural waste and landfill gas currently lead adoption due to abundant feedstock and established collection systems; however, rising investments in wastewater treatment and food waste processing facilities are expanding the diversity of feedstock. By end-use, the transportation segment is experiencing rapid uptake as RNG becomes increasingly adopted as a low-carbon fuel for heavy-duty trucking fleets and public transit. In addition, the power and heat generation segments are steadily incorporating RNG to replace conventional natural gas in industrial boiler systems and electricity generation, driven largely by corporate sustainability targets. From a technology perspective, advanced anaerobic digestion and gas upgrading technologies are critical enablers of market growth, improving methane capture efficiency and lowering production costs over time.

Regional Analysis
North America currently holds a significant share of the RNG market, supported by favorable regulatory frameworks in the United States and Canada including renewable fuel standards and low carbon fuel incentives. Europe follows closely, propelled by the European Union’s aggressive climate goals and circular economy strategies, especially in countries such as Germany, France, and the Netherlands. The Asia-Pacific region is an emerging growth frontier, with countries like China, Japan, and South Korea initiating pilot projects and policy frameworks to scale RNG production. Latin America and the Middle East Africa are poised for gradual adoption as bioenergy infrastructure and waste management systems evolve.

Market Drivers and Challenges
The primary drivers of the RNG market include stringent emissions regulations, increasing corporate sustainability commitments, and rising demand for renewable fuels in transportation sectors. Furthermore, aging waste management infrastructure and heightened landfill mitigation efforts are accelerating RNG adoption as an integrated solution. Nevertheless, challenges persist. High initial capital costs for production and upgrading facilities, logistical complexities associated with feedstock acquisition, and competition from other renewable energy sources such as hydrogen and electrification remain barriers to rapid expansion.

Market Trends
Key trends shaping the industry include technological advancements in anaerobic digestion, strategic collaborations between energy and waste management companies, and the emergence of carbon credit markets that enhance project economics. Additionally, the integration of RNG into existing natural gas pipelines and virtual pipeline distribution systems is enhancing accessibility and commercial viability.

Competitive Landscape
The global RNG market features a mix of energy majors and specialized bioenergy firms actively expanding their footprints. Notable companies profiled include Clean Energy Fuels, BP Plc, Ameresco, Montauk Renewables, Verbio SE, Opal Fuels, WM Intellectual Property Holdings, L.L.C., Fortis BC, Vanguard Renewables, Shell Biogas, along with other leading players that continue to innovate and scale operations to address market demand.

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